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04-24-2012, 02:49 PM
  #107
deckercky
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nabokov20 View Post
It really depends on how long you think he's going to remain an "elite" goaltender. He's 33 years of age (not old, but not young either). Take into account his size, style and the overall wear and tear he's been through (# of minutes played/shots faced) and you begin to wonder... does he have 2, 3 or 4 years of true #1 goaltending left in him? Then you have to evaluate his contract as a long-term bond with a depreciated coupon payment relative to the market. He'll turn into an undervalued asset and you'll be forced to buy his contract out. That said, if you believe that Lu will take your team to the next level, I'd say trade for him. His stock is low and his contract is risky, but that shouldn't matter if you see/believe in the upside he provides to your organization. He'll be traded, but to say his contract situation is blown out of proportions is somewhat ludicrous (especially if he's traded to a smaller market team a la Tampa with huge pre-existing commitments in Vinny, St. Louis, Stammer and Ohlund).
What goalie that hasn't been a 1-2 season wonder has had the wheels fall off to that degree as soon as they turn 35, which seems to be what you're suggesting. Vokoun and Nabokov aren't getting big contracts (I'd argue Vokoun could have gotten $5M short-term elsewhere), but they still put up solid numbers at an older age. Brodeur is the only goalie who's had as much consistency as Luongo, and he played well this season at 39.

Roloson too played well last season, though he (like Thomas) would be one of the goalies that doesn't have as many miles on his body because he was over 30 when he made the NHL.

At 36-37, he probably will slow down a bit, but will likely still be starter quality. If he makes it to 39, his real contract is finished.

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