Improving Adjusted Scoring and Comparing Scoring of Top Tier Players Across Eras
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05-01-2012, 03:31 PM
Join Date: Dec 2010
Originally Posted by
Czech Your Math
Actually a bit surprised by that data. I looked at very top forwards years ago, and remember their best years seemed to be ~22-29.
I would think very top players would tend to peak later than average, so wouldn't expect the average PPG highest at ages 28-31. Defensemen peaking later may have a good deal to do with this.
I still think top players peak in their early-mid twenties. The data may be skewed by the fact that anyone who is playing at 30-31 is a good player, otherwise they would have been culled, but the age is not old enough where everyone that age isn't getting top minutes any more.
Players who are 22 include more marginal players, like prospects who may or may not pan out than later age groups that have smaller shares of GP.
Gretzky, Lemieux, Yzerman were far better PPG producers at 24 than at 31, but top scorers account for a higher % of the games played at age 31 than at age 24, where numbers are dampened by the high number of GP by lesser players.
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