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05-07-2012, 11:53 PM
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Hockey Outsider
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* update for 2014

GoalieDecisionsWinsLossesWin%
Patrick Roy* 245 143 102 58.2%
Martin Brodeur 204 109 95 53.5%
Ed Belfour* 156 89 67 57%
Grant Fuhr* 137 72 65 52.3%
Curtis Joseph 129 69 60 53.6%
Mike Vernon 133 65 68 49.1%
Dominik Hasek 114 65 49 57.2%
Chris Osgood 123 63 60 51.4%
Tom Barrasso 115 59 56 51.7%
Henrik Lundqvist 91 50 41 54.5%
Andy Moog 100 47 53 47.3%
Ron Hextall 90 46 44 50.8%
Jonathan Quick 76 43 33 56%
Marc-Andre Fleury 92 42 50 46%
Kelly Hrudey 82 41 41 49.8%
Mike Richter 74 40 34 53.4%
Evgeni Nabokov 84 39 45 46.5%
Felix Potvin 72 38 34 53%
Kirk McLean 68 37 31 54.8%
Nikolai Khabibulin 70 36 34 51.2%
Roberto Luongo 63 32 31 50.8%
Tim Thomas 50 31 19 62.4%
Ken Wregget 53 31 22 58.6%
Jon Casey 63 30 33 47.6%
Corey Crawford 55 29 26 52.2%
Antti Niemi 61 28 33 46.4%
Jean-Sebastien Giguere 50 28 22 56.5%
Tuukka Rask 47 28 19 59.8%
Miikka Kiprusoff 53 28 25 52.6%
Ryan Miller 53 27 26 51.7%
Bill Ranford 53 27 26 51.6%
Olaf Kolzig 44 26 18 59.1%
Don Beaupre 53 26 27 48.8%
Dwayne Roloson 46 25 21 53.9%
Jose Theodore 51 24 27 47.9%
Arturs Irbe 50 24 26 48.1%
Marty Turco 47 24 23 50.8%
Jimmy Howard 45 23 22 51.5%
Patrick Lalime 41 23 18 55.5%
Cam Ward 41 22 19 54.8%
Greg Millen 46 22 24 48.8%
Ilya Bryzgalov 45 21 24 46.5%
Mike Liut 35 19 16 53.5%
Reggie Lemelin 36 19 17 51.6%
Carey Price 38 18 20 48.3%
Pete Peeters 34 17 17 50.2%
Sean Burke 35 17 18 47.6%
Ray Emery 38 16 22 42.8%
Mario Gosselin 31 15 16 47.3%

This is a concept developed by Taco McArthur – link. Essentially, it shows how many games a goalie would be expected to win, had they played on an average team. I’m not sure if I like this or Wins Added more (the latter is a statistic I created), but TM’s statistic is far easier to calculate and gives fairly similar results, so let’s go with his! The chart above shows the results for all goalies with 30+ decisions.

Roy’s dominance continues. He has the most Support Neutral Wins by a massive margin. He also has the best win percentage out of any goalie with 60+ decisions. Once again, there is little doubt that Roy is greatest playoff goalie of the past three decades.

Tim Thomas has a staggering SNWL record. He has an exceptional win percentage, and his 50 decisions are a substantial number – only 27 goalies have earned the decision in more than fifty playoff games.

Fuhr actually went 90-47 in the playoffs (from 1984 onwards). The numbers suggest that he would have been 72-65 on an average team. That means that Fuhr was a very good goalie (and even better during his prime), but he clearly benefited by playing on the highest-scoring team of the modern era.

For all the criticism he's received, Joseph ranks 5th in playoff wins and has the 10th best win percentage of the 30 goalies who earned 50+ decisions. I don't think he's a HOF goalie, but he's often unfairly criticized (especially in Detroit, when his teammates scored just 1.88 goals per game, despite finishing 1st and 2nd in regular season scoring those two years).

Update for 2012: Brodeur extends his lead over third place. Despite a first-round exit, Thomas breaks the 30 win barrier.

Update for 2013: Quick continues to climb the charts and how has almost matched Thomas' career playoff record. Lundqvist continues to climb the chart, albeit slowly. Rask is off to an excellent 21-14 start to his career.

Update for 2014: Lundqvist moves up to 10th place all-time, and Quick moves up to 13th place.


Last edited by Hockey Outsider: 06-15-2014 at 06:49 PM.
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