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06-12-2012, 12:05 PM
Shady Machine
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Originally Posted by Grant123 View Post
Agreed, my rule of thumb for forwards is 0.1m per point (clearly doesn't consider all factors but it works out pretty well)

Kelly 3m cap hit for 39 points (personally I was surprised he signed that cheap, probably for term)
Campbell 1.6m cap hit for 16 points
Jones 4m cap hit for 37 points
McLeod 1.15m cap hit for 11 points
Koivu 3.8m for 38 points
Grabo 5.5m cap hit for 51 points
Connolly last off season got signed for 4.75m cap hit after he got 42 points in 68 games

These are some of the most recent contracts. My rule of thumb doesn't work perfectly but in general it is very close. I would expect most of the UFAs to be like this. It is the going rate now.

That said, I don't think PA will get 6.7m cap hit. I think if he resigns with NYI, it will be 5m cap hit (can't go over Tavares for obvious reasons) but if he signs as a UFA I think his cap hit will end up being 5.5m with term or 6m for a 1 or 2 year deal.
You made up a rule of thumb and found a few examples to meet it. I can come up with nearly that many on the Pens alone that crap all over that rule.

James Neal 81 points. 5 mil per
Matt Cooke averages 30 points. 1.8 per
Pascal Dupuis averages 35 points. 1.5 per

etc etc

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