Parenteau NOT Retained, Signed with Avs
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06-14-2012, 05:48 AM
Join Date: Sep 2002
Originally Posted by
I can see some of what you are saying, but my fear (and belief) is that there is not one rookie in a our farm system who is going to put up 67 points right now. If Snow seriously thinks that loss can be filled by a prospect he's going to be sorely disappointed. Anyway, I don't think he feels that PA can be replaced by a prospect, but didn't want to overpay him. He was walking a fine line of paying him more than other players that are much more valued in the organization.
When it comes down to the nuts and bolts, a player like PA (just like Jason Blake) have to put their career into perspective. PA sits down and says, playing with the Isles has been great and helped my career immensely. I want to stay but I think I can get more money somewhere else. In the back of his mind he wonders if he can produce without JT and be a 1st liner somewhere else. As an athlete, he is going to convince himself "yes" because you don't make it to this level without believing in your skills. So, he wants to prove this to himself and is going to sign somewhere else most likely. So that's the reality of the situation.
While I agree there's likely not a rookie that could step in and put up 67 points, I disagree that such is a necessity. For example, I think Okposo, given a full season of first line and first unit pp minutes could equal, or come very close to pap's numbers. Grabner could then replace Okposo's second line minutes and points by returning to form somewhat. And if not grabner, then maybe Bailey with a full season at wing. This becomes especially true if we can add a 2nd line center who adds more offense. But even if we don't add a center, Cizikas seems very capable of replacing what Bailey provided as our 3rd line center last season. Or we could also sign a 3rd line center to give Casey more time. Rolston is easy to replace and improve upon, since he was a wasted roster spot on every line he graced. And Martin will of course be returning.
So, essentially, to keep the same offense from the top 9, in this scenario, we just need Okposo to improve by 20-25 points, which I think Tavares would be able to do for him. Then one of Bailey or grabner need to improve by about 10 points. And then we just need a 3rd line center who can pitch in about 30.
And to improve, say both Bailey and grabner improve, or one improves by more than 10. Say Tavares improves. Say we do add a 2nd line center. Say Martin improves. Say rolston's replacement actually contributes a little. And I don't think it is possible for the 4th line to score any less, so that's another possible area for some.improvement.
Not huge improvements that will propel us to contenders, but I a continued build towards hopefully becoming one. Maybe. Well, fingers crossed, at any rate.
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