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06-20-2012, 10:14 AM
  #90
Cocoa Crisp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Canucker View Post
I don't see why Subban couldn't return the same or better if he develops into a Varlamov/Schneider level prospect...which isn't out of the realm of probability...either way, his boom/bust potential is the same as any other player we could take at 26th.
Because if anything the path to becoming a valuable asset is even more difficult than when Schneider was here. Then, he 'only' needed to cement his place as a premier backup to a goalie notorious for his workhorse-like 70+ game schedule and then proceed to outduel him once he got there. Subban is stuck behind Cannata, Lack and Schneider. It's a near mortal lock he'd never exceed the value of the pick spent on drafting him.

And look at what happens when it all works out with goalies: San Jose was a veritable goalie factory in the late nineties to early 2000's - and never spent a pick higher than the fourth round for one, I might add - and their return on investment under nearly optimal conditions was modest.

Compare that to a late first round pick of a forward like, say, David Perron. What do think the Blue could get for him at the draft? At minimum a Varlamov-like return and Perron's career projection is hardly atypical for a forward (and even hampered by concussion concerns at that).

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