Carey Price (UPD: McKenzie expects 6-7 years, $6-6.5m per, to be done soon)
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06-20-2012, 09:02 PM
Join Date: Jul 2003
Now, the tools for measuring goaltender performance are terrible. That said, I wanted to compare Price's even-strength save percentage over the last 3 years (the 3-year average) to other goalies.
Why 3 years and why even-strength only? 3 years the point at which career save percentage tends to stabilize for goalies (according to Gabe Desjardins). Even-strength save percentage only means you're less subject to general volatility and team effects (as discussed in this article:
Anyway, Price settles in at .924 over the last 3 years (league average for last season only was .921 or .922. 13 goalies (minimum 2500 shots) had a 3-year average evSV% greater than Price's with another 5 guys below him between .922 and .924.
While he hasn't performed like an elite performer his technique is among the elite so there's room to grow. I wouldn't give him a 5+ year contract or 6+ million but the Habs wouldn't be crippling themselves signing an above-average goalie (which looks like the downside going forward barring injury) to that type of contract.
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