: Prospect Info:
Last pick, #188 is....Louie Nanne
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06-24-2012, 01:05 AM
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Hong Kong
Originally Posted by
State of Hockey
Well then let's address it again and get it right. The percentage of full-time NHLers who play for more than a couple years is nearly flat after the 2nd round (really about #50-60 is where most drafts become total crapshoots). I believe the numbers are around 10-15% for every round after the 2nd. A quick check of the past decade confirms that. You expect about 3-5 guys per round to make it and stick around. 3% is well below the true 7th round percentage of the past 10-15 years.
Look up every recent draft and start tallying:
In the past 15 years, 1999, 2000, and 2003 are three that win in either quantity or quality or both. Late rounders are still getting their feet wet from about 2005/6 and on, so those are all too young to declare a winner (like 2007 may go in favor of the 7th in the end).
Interesting about 1999, 2000, and 2003.
But your argument goes faulty because in the past 15 years, 1997 1998, 2000, 2001, 2002 and 2004 seem that the 2nd round produced better than the later rounds.
(this is excluding 2005+ because you say its too early too tell)
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