The Offseason Thread Part X: Bobby, we're better than Philly!
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06-24-2012, 09:34 PM
Cash for Nash
Join Date: May 2012
Originally Posted by
Cash For Nash...
The simpler way to look at it... if you use the Richards trade as an example.
If we assume that Richards and Nash are roughly equals in terms of impact on a game (within the proximity of each other at least). Then you have to look at the dollars and age and understand that the terms you're getting Richards is considerably more favorable than in which you're getting Nash.
The question is: how much different?
In reality: It's 2 mil in cap space/year. And 3 prime years.
If Nash is traded to a contender, those 3 prime years make a big difference. At 28, he has a window of 3 or 4 prime years (perhaps the Stanley Cup contention window). Whereas, with Richards at 25 - it's 6-7 years.
That's potentially double the amount of prime years to contend.
Thus, I'd argue the value of Richards (and his contract) is not only 2 million dollars cheaper but potentially twice as good in regards to age.
So, again, how much do you lower the price for Nash to correct for that? You might argue nothing. But I would argue... something. I would not make the same trade for Richards at 25 than I would Nash at 28. I just wouldn't. And so while Miller is not Schenn - he's projected as 2nd/3rd line center. And a 1st in next round's draft is considerably better than the last pick of the 2nd round in 2012.
Thanks for responding.....I learn a lot from the cap posts (seriously) good stuff.
Couple clarifications though:
Richards is 27 now (and 8 months younger than Nash)
--At the time he was traded he was 26 yrs and 4 months old (when dealt)
--Nash turned 28 a week ago so if he was dealt (I really can't believe we are splitting hairs about age like this but whatever.....
In present value the Richards trade would be 1.5 years younger not 3
(that is fudging numbers that are irrelevant anyway over the next 3-4 years)
If Nash went to the Rangers imo with what they have they would be cup favorites....
Only Ovie has scored more goals the last seven years than Nash....okay.
Regarding the picks: The Rangers will be really good so the a "safe bet" is the pick would be really late.
The difference between a late first and a late 2nd is neglible
. Any pick outside the top 6 or 7 is really a crapshoot anyway.
If you don't want to affect the core, or as Sather would say "dismantle" a little dramatic (lol) then we would need your top prospect imo....And we know who that is.
Sather might want to move forward as is which is okay as well...
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