Measuring offensive production
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06-28-2012, 07:05 PM
Hawkey Town 18
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Chicago, IL
Originally Posted by
Czech Your Math
I think you have an interesting idea, but I'm a bit confused.
First, if Crosby was 38th two seasons ago, then you must have given him credit for this season. Since he scored 37 points and the minimum is a half season, then by your method he scored at a 74 point pace. 74 points would be tied for 18th, except that Sharp, Datsyuk and Daniel Sedin all scored at more than a 74 points pace. So under your system, Crosby wouldn't even qualify for a top 20 pace, but seems to be given credit for a top 5 pace. How can this be so?
Second, it appears that you not only credit injured players who play at a top 5/10/20 pace with a half-season minimum, but penalize players who
finished in the top 5/10/20 if someone with a higher pace displaces that player. For instance, if Crosby is given credit for a top 5 pace in 2011, does that mean Stamkos is no longer given credit for his 5th place finish? This seems quite unfair to me, as it gives an injured player more credit than a player who completed a season in the top X players.
The "played half a season" part is to determine where the bar is for the 5th, 10th, nth top scoring pace for that season. If you play games at that pace you get credit for them, whether it's 1 game or 82. So for Crosby this year, he is a non-factor in where the bar is set, so he doesn't bump anyone down, but he still gets credit for the small amount of games he did play.
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