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07-09-2012, 09:57 AM
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Well, Tavares is the obvious comparison. He increased his output from 67 to 81 points after signing his 6-year deal, while improving his overall game dramatically.

I think there are pretty obviously four different sorts of case:

1. When a deserving player gets a big contract (JT, Stamkos, others) and perform.

2. When a deserving player gets a big contract, but under-performs due to injury.

3. When market forces inflate a player's value, resulting in an overvalued contract.

4. When players under-perform due to personal security.

I think the last case is less common than any of the first three.



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