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Well, Tavares is the obvious comparison. He increased his output from 67 to 81 points after signing his 6-year deal, while improving his overall game dramatically.
I think there are pretty obviously four different sorts of case:
1. When a deserving player gets a big contract (JT, Stamkos, others) and perform.
2. When a deserving player gets a big contract, but under-performs due to injury.
3. When market forces inflate a player's value, resulting in an overvalued contract.
4. When players under-perform due to personal security.
I think the last case is less common than any of the first three.
Cheers,
Dan-o
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