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07-14-2012, 02:49 AM
Sergei BobTrollsky
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Bob McKenzie ‏@TSNBobMcKenzie

Based on reports from @RenLavoieRDS regarding NHL proposal to NHLPA, my view of labor outlook remains unchanged from weeks or months ago. That is, I was pessimistic to begin with, figured there was no way season starts on time and today's news only reinforces that sense. That said, it's July 14. It's an opening salvo not unexpected insofar as an owners' Utopian wish list. Let's see where we're at Sept. 14. The biggest nut to crack is two-fold: what's the definition of 100 per cent of Hockey Related Revenue and what share will the players get.I saw @NYP_Brooksie report about proposed re-definition of (shrunken) HRR. If so, that's not a good sign. Smaller share of a smaller pie. Not saying the other issues -- contract term restrictions, UFA, entry level, salary arb -- are unimportant, because they are (important)... ...But the most critical issue is first determining what constitutes HRR and second how it's divided between owners and players. When NFL/NBA deals were settled at (players' share of) 50 per cent or less, we knew this was destined to be another "takeaway" negotiation. So there's going to be a lot of "the sky is falling" forecasts, and maybe it will, but I'll wait until September to put on my hard hat.

Not. Good

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