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07-15-2012, 03:44 PM
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Originally Posted by Mayor Bee View Post
In the event of a season-killing lockout, AND in the event of a lottery in the style of 2005...

Each team started with three balls and lost one for each playoff appearance in the last three years, AND lost one for each time awarded the 1st overall pick in the previous four years (whether it was traded or not). No team can lose more than two balls combined. With this in mind:

3 balls - Calgary, Carolina, Columbus, Dallas, Minnesota, Toronto, "Winnipeg"

2 balls - Anaheim, Colorado, Florida, NY Islanders, St. Louis, Tampa Bay

1 ball - Boston, Buffalo, Chicago, Detroit, Edmonton, Los Angeles, Montreal, Nashville, New Jersey, NY Rangers, Ottawa, Philadelphia, Phil Kessel, Phoenix, Pittsburgh, San Jose, Vancouver, Washington

That's 50 total balls in the hopper. Each team with 1 ball would have a 2% chance of winning, each team with 2 would have a 4% chance, and each with 3 would have a 6% chance.

However, the idea of Edmonton winning with less-than-optimal odds means that them getting #1 again would probably happen.
And every team named Pittsburgh would have a 100% chance to win.

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