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Weber signed to offer sheet (TSN: 14 yrs, $110m, cap hit $7.8m per yr.) Part 2
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07-22-2012, 07:56 PM
Join Date: Mar 2010
Originally Posted by
They draft well, but Norris candidates don't grow on trees and defenseman take longer to develop. So they could spend years missing the playoffs. They still have to spend to the floor so they have to pay anyway. Remember they were spending $52M last year and they've gone on the record to say they would spend more than they ever have. They are currently at $40M. It's not like this means they will be $27M in a hole. The worst case scenario is they will eventually have to trade him for NHL ready youth which helps them rebuild faster. They aren't just going to pile up the losses each year if they do match. They also might receive more revenue sharing in the new CBA, the floor could go down, and salaries could be rolled back some to help minimize some of their losses.
I think they have much more to lose by letting him go.
They may be at $40mill now... but they only have 4 dmen signed, 12 forwards (including 3-4 who played less than 30 games last year)
They have the least players currently contracted of any NHL team...
Considering most teams have about 15-16 forwards and 8-9 d-men signed for a season, they need an extra 7-8 players signed before the season... that is going to cost $10mill minimum... and actually has to cost slightly more than that to reach the floor (maybe $12mill in actual cash).
So that means they will be spending $52mill next year even IF THEY DON'T match (guess how much they pay in signing bonuses currently? $260k).
If they do it will put their yearly spending up to $65mill cash... and 13.26mill of that coming on the first day... that was their budget last year for all players pay packages for the first 3 months of the year. So next year, if they sign Weber, their first quarter of the season pay spending DOUBLES, it does as well for 3 years after that, and the two years after that they only get a 2mill respite.
They can match, just, I believe, but the risk due to the guaranteed money, as well as the lockout is so much I am not sure they will.
In the next calender year Weber will be over 33% of all the money the organisation spends on salary if they match.
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