Offseason Armchair GM Thread Part IIX (aka VIII)
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07-26-2012, 07:36 PM
Join Date: Sep 2007
Originally Posted by
Not all of this is for you, just elucidating my thinking.
Not sure about mocked, but I had the Sharks in low 100s for standings points. I predicted that they would at best be even with the previous year for offense and defense. I actually turned out more optimistic than the results warranted. I did predict that their PK would still be out to lunch as Handzus was NOT a fix. It was a strategy issue and not the players. When they started with Zeus/JT as their top PK pair, I knew they were in trouble. I did see the loss of Seto as that critical tweener being an issue.
My prediction for this year is bubble team and don't see any trade/acquisition as a cure for that. It is extemely difficult to move up and down the standings with off-season movement. Moving up is done through strategy or acquiring playmakers where the team lacked them previously. I give the Sharks a decent but less than 50/50 chance to surprise if they actually enact strategy changes with the coaching. It is the type of move that can be a good change. We should see changes early if the Sharks take advantage of new strategy.
For those thinking overwhelming defense to ride to the cup, think again. The teams that do it that way are Jennings/Vezina caliber. That won't happen with Niemi in goal and I don't see any available goalie that would (there are some goalies who are not available). Top 5 doesn't cut it, top 3 or bust. If the Sharks are going to make a run it has to be done with offense.
I never said CUP thru D. I said 4-6 seed and That is still doable. Top 5 in GAA will get you in the playoffs and with the offense already here that should net something above a 7 or 8 seed as well. I do agree that a key will be seeing an improved strategy especially on the PK.
The Wings will suck this year. They will drop out of the top 8 and will not even be a bubble team. They don't have the horses anymore. Phoenix will be out too after loosing 2 of their best. If they trade Yandle they'll be a lotto pick. The kings will be good but they are a good matchup for us for some reason. They might even have a stanley cup hang over but I wouldn't count on it. Anahiem will still miss the playoffs again so Dallas and the kings are our only competition for the division which is potentially doable. That means a top 3 seed is entirely possible and reasonable.
Last edited by NWShark*: 07-26-2012 at
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