Thread: Proposal: Luongo to Columbus
View Single Post
Old
07-30-2012, 02:25 PM
  #57
416Leafer
Registered User
 
416Leafer's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 8,324
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by arsmaster View Post
What about Pekke Rinne? Ryan Miller?

For every Jon Quick, there is a guy who is developed slowly...
Miller was an NHL starter by age 25, and could have been the year before if it wasn't for the lockout. Not to mention he was drafted 138th overall, meaning he needed more development time.

Same can be said of Rinne. Guys drafted in later rounds are generally expected to take a lot longer to develop. They're considered "project" picks. Markstrom was drafted 31st overall.

So it would actually be better to compare him to highly drafted goalies who didn't pan out. But most of them had their development stall within the first few years after getting drafted, whereas Markstrom has continued to put up great numbers. I can't think of many examples of goalies who were drafted high, and then continued to put up exceptional numbers at the CHL/AHL level for the next 3-4 years, but then completely fell flat when they hit the NHL. The ones that don't pan out at the NHL level tend to have had worse numbers than Markstrom at the lower levels.

Examples:
-Marek Shwarz: Drafted 17th overall in 2004. In the AHL he put up .899 and .891 save % seasons
-Al Montoya: Drafted 6th overall 2004. Best AHL season was a .914 save %.
-Corey Crawford: Drafted 52nd overall 2003. Best AHL season was a 0.909 save %.

Markstrom on the other hand put up a 0.927 save % this year. His last season in the SEL he put up the same save %. His only "down" year since being drafted was his first year in North America, which for a goalie can easily be attributed to adjusting to the wider ice-surface/shooting angles. Not to mention, look at his WJC/WC statistics, both are superb.

Some goalies value goes down after being drafted, some goalies have it go up. Markstrom has had his go up. There's every reason to expect him to be the next Rask, and no reason to expect him to be the next Montoya/Shwarz.

416Leafer is offline   Reply With Quote