View Single Post
Old
07-31-2012, 08:18 AM
  #11
Fourier
Registered User
 
Fourier's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Waterloo Ontario
Country: Canada
Posts: 10,287
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by Czech Your Math View Post
This seems like a good idea.

The way home/road splits have been calculated seems good. The only complicating factor is that since the lockout, there are shootout W/L.

I can think of a few factors that could affect difference in home/road records:

- coaching: coaches that utilize matchups more should have larger H/R splits

- depth of talent: teams with skater talent more evenly distributed should have smaller H/R splits than those which are imbalanced and more dependent on favorable matchups

- goaltending: teams with a very large proportion of team value at goalie should have smaller H/R splits

- travel: teams in cities which are particularly far away from other NHL cities should have larger H/R splits

- team dynamic: teams which are particularly close knit may have smaller H/R splits, as may those that are particularly "unfocused" at home (e.g. we're home... it's party time!)

- team quality/refereeing: bad teams may be favored more by refs at home, while good teams would seem less likely to get (more like need) such advantages to stay competitive

- team style: some teams may play a more entertaining style at home, while playing a more disciplined style on the road, which would decrease their H/R splits
It would be interesting to understand the travel dynamic on actual performance.

Fourier is offline   Reply With Quote