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08-03-2012, 07:17 AM
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Originally Posted by seventieslord View Post
The thing is, this is just a horribly small sample size. I'd have to see these numbers over a 5-year period to think they mean much more than randomness.
I agree, and it's even tougher to try and put together sample sizes beyond 5 years. I'd love to see a 30-year sample, but scoring in general has swung wildly between firewagon and dead-puck during that timeframe.

But it's an interesting thing to think about It could have some practical application in terms of playoff OT strategy -- it might be advantageous to double-shift your top lines early in OT, increasing your chances of scoring a goal within the most favorable timeframe.

Originally Posted by Czech Your Math View Post
Here's what I have for the 7 years since the lockout. I may have made some mistakes, feel free to double check any playoff season.

Goals vs. Time in OT:

Same but only for first ~30 minutes of OT:

Great job on this data. I feel like this stuff would be of interest to a lot of coaches.

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