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08-09-2012, 02:50 PM
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Originally Posted by seventieslord
Take some player from some team. Last year he was in line with the rest of his team from a Corsi standpoint, but for whatever reason his goalie stunk at even strength when he was on the ice, posting a .882 sv% when he was otherwise .920. he was situationally unlucky, and this badly damaged his +/-. It is predictable that this will likely regress to the mean for this player. It’s not predictable that he will continue to have bad puck luck.
But why do you need PDO to show you that? Isn't "his goalie's save percentage was unusually crappy just when he was on the ice, and as a forward, he probably had relatively little effect on on-ice save percentage" an adequate explanation?

Edit: or better yet, don't even bother to use single-season plus-minus as indicative of very much

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