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08-13-2012, 11:58 AM
Jason MacIsaac
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Originally Posted by overpass View Post
Shots for are a better predictor than goals for over a small sample where there may be too much randomness in the goals stat. At some larger sample size goals for become a better predictor because it captures the shooting skill of the team.

It depends on what you want to look at. If you want to evaluate your team's power play after 5 games by using only stats and without watching the games, shots for are certainly the best tool.
While PP there is slightly more shooting skill than 5 on 5, there is still a massive amount of luck. In the long run there there really is no skill to sh% in any situation.

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