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08-13-2012, 04:58 PM
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Originally Posted by dan1el View Post
I put all the guys in Red. Good Idea-but did you give every team an equal shot at number 1, or use the actual odds? These results seem a little odd.
They probably seem a little odd because it's presumably a single instance simulation. Given the small percentage each team has of hitting a given draft position, I'm kind of surprised so many teams are in the right 'section' as it is; having a chance of between 2-6% makes it a veritable crapshoot, weighted or not. If he'd run a thousand sims and based the results off of that, it'd probably look a little less odd.

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