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08-15-2012, 09:50 AM
  #61
Czech Your Math
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason MacIsaac View Post
You would think so but Detroit's top lines had terrible on ice sh% last year.
Where do you find data for 2012?

One must also consider that Detroit's best players are older and some/all may be declining. The fact that one team's best players had a poor sh% on ice at ES does not invalidate the theory that skilled players' teams will have higher, more predictable sh%s while they're on the ice, nor does it prove that the sh% component of PDO is "all luck."

This article suggests PDO's sh% component may not be so much about luck on an individual player basis:

http://hockeyanalysis.com/2012/02/05...-pdo-and-luck/

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