Thread: Prospect Info: St. Louis Blues Top Prospect #8
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08-15-2012, 10:11 AM
  #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by h22prelude93 View Post
Thanks for clearing that up. To me though, the whole "likeliness" factor is somewhat of a moot point. When you look at the percentages of how many of these prospects actually do make it to the NHL then you realize how small of a chance most of these guys really have. I guess it's just a matter of opinion, I just feel it shouldn't factor in too much to where you rank these guys. I like the idea of ranking them more on skill-set/ Etc, and I feel that as long as they are Blues prospects they all have a chance of making it. A good example is Nikita Nikitin.
I quests I just don't see why a player's likeliness to become an NHLer shouldn't be factored in. Nikitin was an aberration. Why ignore things just because there's an exception to the rule every now and then? That's what makes this an inexact science. Ignoring likeliness to become an NHLer when rating prospects would be like a bank ignoring their opinion on the likeliness of a loan to default when rating their loan portfolio. Just because every now and then a highly rated loan goes into default or a highly rated loan all of a sudden gets paid off doesn't mean that banks should ignore the rating process altogether just because there were a few exceptions. You're certainly entitled to your opinion and can vote whatever way you want but I see no reason to not include such risk factors, even if they are just opinions.

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