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08-17-2012, 10:07 PM
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Originally Posted by Czech Your Math View Post
If one completely filters out SV% while on ice (during SA), then doesn't that penalize d-men which prevent high quality shots? So a d-man who takes chances that either results in no shots or often in a high quality shot will appear better than one which prevents most high quality shots, but allows more low quality shots.

I understand the luck component in the shorter term, so maybe it would be better to see results both ways. In a longer term study, one could get an average of SV% on/off for each d-man and adjust based on that, right?
IE Alex Goligoski

Pure offensive defenseman that has had generally good corsi and +- results his entire career. Also has been near the bottom of his team (DAL and PIT) in SV% ON for almost every year he's played. Why? He is a very small defenseman that while very talented with the puck, has trouble limiting shots in the high percentage areas due to his lack of size. He cannot clear the crease of screening forwards or prevent shots in the crease.

He generally plays somewhat sheltered minutes and gets favorable zone starts to minimize his exposure to his weakness. If you don't look at SV% ON you'd never find this flaw in his game. Zone starts and qual comp would indicate something is different with him but not give you the smoking gun that SV% ON does.

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