Scouting, Statistics, and St. Louis
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08-21-2012, 08:36 PM
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Fredericton, NB
Originally Posted by
You are in the ballpark for Patrice Lefebvre. Shawinigan drafted him seriously doubting that he was an NHL draft pick. Likewise Stephan and Patrick Lebeau. Shawinigan had a perspective that they wanted their top Midget AAA players around for five seasons as franchise cornerstones.Their scouts nailed their Midget AAA picks in these situations, optimizing the team benefits..
That said, Patrice Lefebvre illustrates the reluctance to draft Martin St. Louis and Eric Perrin. Lefebvre had fewer incompletes and unanswered questions.
The system sees the Lebeaus as good selections, maybe 3rd-rounders or so. Whereas Lefebvre was seen as likely not worth a pick, and St. Louis as being worth an early pick. I daresay all of these particular ratings are pretty fair given how these players' careers panned out.
I understand that there was reluctance to draft these players. The entire point is that reluctance can be misplaced and exaggerated. It's the classic forest for the trees problem. You lock on one possible issue and allow it to overshadow all other factors, even if said issue is not important enough to do so.
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