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09-12-2012, 09:56 PM
  #93
TheJuxtaposer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vankiller Whale View Post
A lot can happen in 3 years. May as well hold on to him until the market gets hot.
The market won't get hot, and Luongo will only get older and decline. Trading him now is the best plan for the Canucks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyLager View Post
It sounds like what you're saying is that there will be a problem in the future, not that there's one right now.
If you can avoid the problem later by solving it now, you do it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by seanlinden View Post
3 years isn't the issue -- the issue is what they're going to do to Luongo's value by keeping him. For all the knocks on his playoff performances, this is a goaltender who is basically 3 games removed from being the #1 guy in Vancouver. He played 55 regular season games and put up a very good .919 sv%. He's 1 year removed from 60 games, a gold medal, a .928 sv%, and Stanley Cup Finals appearance. He's been an undisputed #1 goaltender in the NHL for 10 years. Of course, it's one heck of a resume, and that establishes his value (whatever it may specifically be) today.

Falling to the role of backup / #1b goalie to a guy like Schneider (as seems to be the intention for Gillis) is going to put a substantial blemish on that resume... and it's not like burning off years makes his contract any more appealing. The deal carries him well into his 40s, if he had a 2 or 3 year deal, you could make the case that the Canucks are best served by keeping him in a reduced role, simply because burning off years of the contract will make him less of a risk to another team... but with 10 years left, that really isn't the case.

The result -- is that there's no way Gillis can reasonably expect to get a better deal for Luongo than this offseason.

"Buying low" and "selling high" is something that gets horrendously misused on this board because posters make the mistake of benchmarking to past value. If you're Gillis, this is an actual case of selling high, because you know that your plans for this year are going to decrease Luongo's value.
The bolded are my two points precisely.

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