Adjusted Even Strength Production Leaders
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09-17-2012, 07:37 AM
Join Date: Jun 2007
Originally Posted by
Czech Your Math
That's some interesting info and I didn't have access to that. Where did you get the data for those results?
Any theories as to why first liners score a higher proportion of points than in the 80s? It could be that once all of the European/Russian forwards were free to come to the NHL, they did so disproportionately, so that the top line forwards were relatively better compared to the 3rd/4th liners than back in the 80s. It could be that 3rd/4th liners were expected to score more back in the 80s, and are relied on more defensively in more recent years. It could be that with better goalie technique/equipment, it became disproportionately more difficult for 3rd/4th liners to score than for top line forwards. It may be a combination of these factors, but I'm interested to hear other theories and how any/all can be substantiated with data.
ESG data is from official NHL stats.
ES assists are official from 1987-88. Before that time they are estimates, but I have replaced the estimates for most prominent players with unofficial boxscore data from the HSP. The estimates may add a little error to the results pre-88 but should not make much difference to the top end.
I'm planning to make a full post at some point with distribution stats of this type for all years and both F and D.
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