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09-20-2012, 10:33 AM
Iain Fyffe
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Originally Posted by Ohashi_Jouzu View Post
I'm sure it wouldn't be too hard to find plenty of examples of teams that finished behind one of their playoff rivals during the regular season, yet dominated (or even "unexpectedly" split) the head-to-head matchups (and vice versa), and ended up winning/losing the series in an "upset".
That's not evidence, because it can be explained by the fact that the playoffs are a short-series format, where any team has a chance to beat any other team. A certain number of upsets are expected every year, simply because of the short series format.

You'd have to demonstrate, rather than assume, that a team won because of the matchup, rather than normal variance. Same applies to the regular-season matchups; normally the number of games involved is so small that you can't draw reliable conclusions from them.

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