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09-20-2012, 11:30 AM
  #16
Doctor No
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Quote:
Originally Posted by svat View Post
I'm not very educated on statistics and mathematics, but I should clarify that I more or less meant to say that there would be such a huge array of factors that would need to be considered imo, (near impossible was a bad choice of words).
Agreed - and that's the hard part.

On the other hand, no one's expecting a model that's 100% predictive, and so I imagine a process such as this:
  1. We develop a list of candidate factors
  2. Develop a model based on those factors (removing variables, adding variables, combining variables...)
  3. See how the model does
  4. See which types of teams consistently do better (worse) than the model expects
  5. Go back to step one

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