Quote:
Originally Posted by svat
I'm not very educated on statistics and mathematics, but I should clarify that I more or less meant to say that there would be such a huge array of factors that would need to be considered imo, (near impossible was a bad choice of words).
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Agreed - and that's the hard part.
On the other hand, no one's expecting a model that's 100% predictive, and so I imagine a process such as this:
- We develop a list of candidate factors
- Develop a model based on those factors (removing variables, adding variables, combining variables...)
- See how the model does
- See which types of teams consistently do better (worse) than the model expects
- Go back to step one