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09-20-2012, 03:05 PM
Feed Me A Stray Cat
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Originally Posted by Rhodes 81 View Post
True, but winning one run games is a skill in itself. They may get blown out more than you would expect from a playoff team, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's all luck.
I like the orioles though, so I'm hopeful that they're the exception to the rule in this case
Winning one run games really isn't a skill, though. If it was it would be more repeatable from year to year. Perhaps teams with poor offenses and very good bull pens could win some more close games, but certainly not to the Orioles' ridiculous 80% success rate.

Once again, forget the stats and go back to logic. If you're consistently going into the 8th and 9th inning in a tied or one run game, you are exposing yourself to one bad pitch or one bad bounce or one bad call losing the game for you. Eventually those bounces will turn against you, and you'll start to lose.

Does anyone honestly think the Orioles will continue to win 80% of one run games going forward?

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