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09-20-2012, 04:55 PM
Feed Me A Stray Cat
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Originally Posted by Rhodes 81 View Post
They've done it for 150 games, so I see no reason why they can't do it for another 25. Beyond this year it doesn't matter. You don't win anything for being good every year. It only takes one.
Odds are against it happening, though. If you flipped heads 80% of the time over 150 trials, you wouldn't expect to flip heads 80% of the time over the next 25. You would expect 50%.

Now, I don't really know what the proper odds of the Orioles winning a one run game are. Maybe it's 55 or 60% because of their bullpen. However, it's definitely not 80%.

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