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09-20-2012, 07:06 PM
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Originally Posted by Taco MacArthur View Post
I think that what he's saying is that, although there are certainly cases where one team had an advantage on an opponent based upon matchups (above and beyond what's reflected in overall team ability), you would be hard-pressed to pick out which ones were genuine advantages, and which ones were the result of small sample sizes.

If that's not what he's saying, then I'll take credit for it.
Oh, I totally understand about the sample size thing. I'm also not sure how I'd build it into a cumulative "quality of competition" stat, anyhow. It just seems to me that 1st seed>2nd seed>3rd seed... isn't necessarily going to prove to be any less random-seeming or predictive as the sample size gets bigger. Maybe at the extremes (1st seed vs 8th, specifically), I have no idea.

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