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09-20-2012, 07:09 PM
  #21
Doctor No
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ohashi_Jouzu View Post
Oh, I totally understand about the sample size thing. I'm also not sure how I'd build it into a cumulative "quality of competition" stat, anyhow. It just seems to me that 1st seed>2nd seed>3rd seed... isn't necessarily going to prove to be any less random-seeming or predictive as the sample size gets bigger. Maybe at the extremes (1st seed vs 8th, specifically), I have no idea.
I think that it'd probably be a component of a regression equation (although likely not a large one) - my guess is that the information about your seed is largely redundant to your goal differentials, point totals, and other metrics (for instance, if you outscored your opponents by 160 goals over the regular season, you wouldn't gain much predictive power by also knowing that you're a #1 seed).

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