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09-28-2012, 11:06 AM
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Originally Posted by RandV View Post
It's a valid point that teams use the last minute because they want their best six out there for the push, but if a team were to experiment with pulling their goalie early they don't have to stick to the above formula. While taking your 4 best skilled forwards will give you the best chance to score in a single shift, taking your 3 best skilled forwards and adding a utility player to forecheck/screen/crash the net could still be effective.

Using last years Vancouver team as an example it would be the standard:


for 1-1.5 minutes vs


for 2-3 minutes.

Also keep in mind in the standard situation if you want your 1st line out for the last minute then you're going to want your 2nd line out for the second last minute, but if you're taking your best 2nd line forward to stack the 1st line in the last minute then you're weakening your chances for that second last shift, goalie pulled or not. Also, prolonged pressure in the offensive zone is a bit easier on the attacking teams endurance. If you have a stud forward or dman like Ilya Kovalchuk or Shea Weber you can probably leave them out there for both shifts if there's sustained pressure.
This is all true, but doesn't answer the objection to the study that you can't just extrapolate scoring rates from a minute of your best players over 2-3 minutes of 6 on 5

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