Do Teams Wait Too Long to Pull the Goalie?
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09-28-2012, 12:37 PM
Join Date: Nov 2007
Originally Posted by
No, you see my point was that you used counting stats to argue that certain players score at a greater rate. That's not valid. You need to use rate stats for that.
Now, it is surely true that the first PP unit on a team will score at a greater rate than the second (the evidence for which would be the rate they score on the PP, not the total amount they score on the PP). But that by itself is not evidence that teams currently pull the goalie at the right time.
As I said in the last post, the second unit might still score enough for it to be worthwhile. It doesn't have to be as much as the first unit, it just has to meet a certain threshold.
Then it is up to you to define the worthwhile level and the certain threshold that you conjure up.
As is, the team originating the 6 on 5 situation does so in a fashion to optimize benefits while minimizing risks. NHL teams allow < 30 SOG per game or < 1 every 2 minutes. Giving up an empty net goals requires 1 SOG by the defending team so the offensive team wishes to minimize its risk when playing its 6 best offensive players.
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