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10-12-2012, 12:24 PM
  #102
quoipourquoi
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BM67 View Post
There are a number of factors that have to be adjusted for, not just one or two.

In the case of Brodeur, we have: Shot under counting at home (lower SV%), the low number of PP faced (higher SV%), his non puck stopping skills (stick handling, rebound control, poke checking) impact on the game (lower SV%, fewer SOG, ??? unknowns like impact of fewer faceoffs)

Here's one factor that is across the board, home vs road split.

PlayerH Min%R Min %
Brodeur50.90%49.10%
Hasek52.22%47.78%
Roy55.50%44.50%

Brodeur has played 7584 more career road minutes than Roy, but only 2218 more home minutes.
I'm not saying that save percentage is perfect by any means (another factor being whether or not a goalie is comfortable playing in a shot-blocking system or needs to make the first-shot saves to get into a groove), but I also don't want to throw the baby out with the bathwater.


As for the career adjusted playoff save percentage, as much as I appreciate HockeyOutsider's work, I would have preferred he adjusted to the league average save percentage and not the playoff average save percentage for reasons I have expressed in that thread and elsewhere.

Also, especially when it comes to playoffs, it's not just about cumulative performance in a given Spring. We may fawn over Hasek's .940 in the 1994 playoffs, but I believe it is just as useful to recall that their were two games in that series in which Hasek put on an statistically-objective below-average performance. It's not enough to have a high cumulative number on the back of one 70-save game - it needs to be high all-across the series to advance.


YearGPGPAGPBPCT+/-PlayoffGPGPAGPBPCT+/-
Patrick Roy, Career 1020 661 359 64.8% 302 246 169 77 68.7% 92
Dominik Hasek, Career 730 473 257 64.8% 216 118 79 39 66.9% 40
Martin Brodeur, Career 1186 672 514 56.7% 158 205 124 81 60.5% 43


YearGPGPAGPBPCT+/-PlayoffGPGPAGPBPCT+/-
Patrick Roy, 1986 44 26 18 59.1% 8 20 17 3 85.0% 14
Patrick Roy, 1987 46 29 17 63.0% 12 6 3 3 50.0% 0
Patrick Roy, 1988 45 30 15 66.7% 15 7 4 3 57.1% 1
Patrick Roy, 1989 47 33 14 70.2% 19 19 17 2 89.5% 15
Patrick Roy, 1990 54 41 13 75.9% 28 11 7 4 63.6% 3
Patrick Roy, 1991 48 32 16 66.7% 16 13 7 6 53.8% 1
Patrick Roy, 1992 66 51 15 77.3% 36 11 5 6 45.5% -1
Patrick Roy, 1993 62 36 26 58.1% 10 20 19 1 95.0% 18
Patrick Roy, 1994 68 45 23 66.2% 22 6 3 3 50.0% 0
Patrick Roy, 1995 43 23 20 53.5% 3
Patrick Roy, 1996 61 39 22 63.9% 17 22 15 7 68.2% 8
Patrick Roy, 1997 62 43 19 69.4% 24 17 11 6 64.7% 5
Patrick Roy, 1998 65 35 30 53.8% 5 7 5 2 71.4% 3
Patrick Roy, 1999 61 39 22 63.9% 17 19 12 7 63.2% 5
Patrick Roy, 2000 62 39 23 62.9% 16 17 12 5 70.6% 7
Patrick Roy, 2001 60 36 24 60.0% 12 23 17 6 73.9% 11
Patrick Roy, 2002 63 43 20 68.3% 23 21 12 9 57.1% 3
Patrick Roy, 2003 63 41 22 65.1% 19 7 3 4 42.9% -1
            
Dominik Hasek, 1991 3 2 1 66.7% 1 3 2 1 66.7% 1
Dominik Hasek, 1992 18 11 7 61.1% 4 3 2 1 66.7% 1
Dominik Hasek, 1993 28 16 12 57.1% 4 1 1 0 100.0% 1
Dominik Hasek, 1994 57 42 15 73.7% 27 7 5 2 71.4% 3
Dominik Hasek, 1995 41 30 11 73.2% 19 5 1 4 20.0% -3
Dominik Hasek, 1996 59 40 19 67.8% 21
Dominik Hasek, 1997 68 49 19 72.1% 30 3 2 1 66.7% 1
Dominik Hasek, 1998 72 47 25 65.3% 22 15 12 3 80.0% 9
Dominik Hasek, 1999 64 50 14 78.1% 36 19 14 5 73.7% 9
Dominik Hasek, 2000 35 22 13 62.9% 9 5 3 2 60.0% 1
Dominik Hasek, 2001 66 39 27 59.1% 12 12 9 3 75.0% 6
Dominik Hasek, 2002 65 37 28 56.9% 9 23 15 8 65.2% 7
Dominik Hasek, 2004 14 8 6 57.1% 2
Dominik Hasek, 2006 43 31 12 72.1% 19
Dominik Hasek, 2007 56 31 25 55.4% 6 18 11 7 61.1% 4
Dominik Hasek, 2008 41 18 23 43.9% -5 4 2 2 50.0% 0
            
Martin Brodeur, 1992 4 2 2 50.0% 0 1 0 1 0.0% -1
Martin Brodeur, 1994 47 31 16 66.0% 15 17 14 3 82.4% 11
Martin Brodeur, 1995 40 24 16 60.0% 8 20 11 9 55.0% 2
Martin Brodeur, 1996 77 44 33 57.1% 11
Martin Brodeur, 1997 67 45 22 67.2% 23 10 7 3 70.0% 4
Martin Brodeur, 1998 70 40 30 57.1% 10 6 5 1 83.3% 4
Martin Brodeur, 1999 70 34 36 48.6% -2 7 1 6 14.3% -5
Martin Brodeur, 2000 72 44 28 61.1% 16 23 15 8 65.2% 7
Martin Brodeur, 2001 72 38 34 52.8% 4 25 13 12 52.0% 1
Martin Brodeur, 2002 73 37 36 50.7% 1 6 5 1 83.3% 4
Martin Brodeur, 2003 73 39 34 53.4% 5 24 18 6 75.0% 12
Martin Brodeur, 2004 70 40 30 57.1% 10 5 2 3 40.0% -1
Martin Brodeur, 2006 73 39 34 53.4% 5 9 6 3 66.7% 3
Martin Brodeur, 2007 78 46 32 59.0% 14 11 6 5 54.5% 1
Martin Brodeur, 2008 77 52 25 67.5% 27 5 1 4 20.0% -3
Martin Brodeur, 2009 31 20 11 64.5% 9 7 5 2 71.4% 3
Martin Brodeur, 2010 77 43 34 55.8% 9 5 1 4 20.0% -3
Martin Brodeur, 2011 56 27 29 48.2% -2
Martin Brodeur, 2012 59 27 32 45.8% -5 24 14 10 58.3% 4


10 Best Seasons - Quality Games Percentage
1. Hasek, 1999; 50-14 (78.1%)
2. Roy, 1992; 51-15 (77.3%)
3. Roy, 1990; 41-13 (75.9%)

4. Hasek, 1994; 42-15 (73.7%)
5. Hasek, 1995; 30-11 (73.2%)
6. Hasek, 2006; 31-12 (72.1%)
7. Hasek, 1997; 49-19 (72.1%)

8. Roy, 1989; 33-14 (70.2%)
9. Roy, 1997; 43-19 (69.4%)
10. Roy, 2002; 43-20 (68.3%)


10 Best Seasons - Net Quality Games
1. Hasek, 1999; 50-14 (36)
1. Roy, 1992; 51-15 (36)
3. Hasek, 1997; 49-19 (30)
4. Roy, 1990; 41-13 (28)
5. Hasek, 1994; 42-15 (27)
5. Brodeur, 2008; 52-25 (27)
7. Roy, 1997; 43-19 (24)
8. Roy, 2002; 43-20 (23)

8. Brodeur, 1997; 45-22 (23)
10. Roy, 1994; 45-23 (22)
10. Hasek, 1998; 47-25 (22)


10 Best Playoffs - Quality Games Percentage
1. Roy, 1993; 19-1 (95.0%)
2. Roy, 1989; 17-2 (89.5%)
3. Roy, 1986; 17-3 (85.0%)

4. Brodeur, 1998; 5-1 (83.3%)
4. Brodeur, 2002; 5-1 (83.3%)
6. Brodeur, 1994; 14-3 (82.4%)

7. Hasek, 1998; 12-3 (80.0%)
8. Brodeur, 2003; 18-6 (75.0%)
8. Hasek, 2001; 9-3 (75.0%)
10. Roy, 2001; 17-6 (73.9%)

10 Best Playoffs - Net Quality Games
1. Roy, 1993; 19-1 (18)
2. Roy, 1989; 17-2 (15)
3. Roy, 1986; 17-3 (14)

4. Brodeur, 2003; 18-6 (12)
5. Brodeur, 1994; 14-3 (11)

5. Roy, 2001; 17-6 (11)
7. Hasek, 1998; 12-3 (9)
7. Hasek, 1999; 14-5 (9)

9. Roy, 1996; 15-7 (8)
10. Roy, 2000; 12-5 (7)

10. Brodeur, 2000; 15-8 (7)
10. Hasek, 2002; 15-8 (7)

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