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10-18-2012, 12:20 PM
Hawkey Town 18
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Originally Posted by seventieslord View Post
This is a more fair comparison. That is what I’m looking for when it comes to viewing Francis’ 95-98 seasons realistically. It’s ok to give “some” credit because he actually did it, so calling them his 3rd-6th best seasons is appropriate.

As far as adding up their best scores, I am all for that too. But what I was doing in the last ATD (which I won, heh) to make sure I didn’t give a player’s 8th-best season as much weight as their best, was paste their top percentage scores into excel boxes where I had a weighting formula set up. If I use it for Gilmour and Francis’ best seasons (and factor out all beneficiaries of Lemieux/Gretzky, which benefits both of them), we get this:

Gilmour: 100, 99, 89, 83, 81, 78, 77, 72, 71, 70
Francis: 89, 86, 84, 84, 84, 84, 83, 80, 78, 76

Weighted using a 20-18-17-16-15-14-13-12-11-10 system:

Gilmour: 84.1
Francis: 83.5

And I think most people would agree that my formula is very generous to longevity players, considering their 10th best season is half as important as their best.

In the end, I think comparing them offensively at their best is splitting hairs.
Not a bad system, but when both players have careers as long as these two guys (Gilmour played 20 NHL seasons and Francis even more than that) I think you need to go 15 seasons out instead of 10.

EDIT: Here's what I got for 15 seasons...

Gilmour: 78.1
Francis: 81.0

EDIT 2: Here's what I got for 15 seasons if the weighting went no lower than 10 (I feel like at some point it needs to level off, seems wrong for the 10th best to be worth double the 15th best).

Gilmour: 75.9
Francis: 80.2

Last edited by Hawkey Town 18: 10-18-2012 at 12:29 PM.
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