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11-04-2012, 07:51 PM
  #3
Epsilon
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BCS: Alabama vs. Oregon

rationale: They will both go undefeated, Alabama is obvious, and Oregon will move up to #2 by staying #2 in the polls and improving their computer ranking as they end the season with their toughest opponents.

Rose: Nebraska vs. Oregon State

rationale: Nebraska looks well-positioned at the moment to win their division and play against a weak opponent from the other where Ohio State is not eligible. Oregon State will beat Stanford, lose to Oregon, and be the only remaining PAC-12 team with 2 losses.

Sugar: LSU vs. Oklahoma

rationale: LSU will be the top-ranked remaining SEC team after Georgia is blown out in the SEC championship game and Florida loses to Florida State. Oklahoma qualifies as an at-large team that obviously brings a huge fanbase and sets up a marquee matchup.

Fiesta: Kansas State vs. Notre Dame

rationale: This will happen even if neither team finishes undefeated. Kansas State will get the Big XII champion's automatic spot, and the Fiesta Bowl has first choice of at-large teams; they would be foolish to pick anyone other than Notre Dame in this scenario.

Orange: Florida State vs. Louisville

Florida State is the top team in ACC even with their loss to NC State, while Louisville is well-positioned to win the Big East.

I don't think any mid-major team will finish ranked high enough to qualify for a BCS game, even with the possibility the B1G champ is not in the Top 16 (unlikely, I think, if Nebraska wins out).

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