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11-09-2012, 10:51 AM
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Psycho Dad
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Projected Points vs. Actual Points

Opinions wanted: Are Projected Points artificially inflated, or is my team just underachieving? Should people just ignore Projected Points in favor of their gut feeling?

I seem to leave way too many points on the bench every week. Last week was the tipping point, as I started Lynch and McCoy instead of the 51.2 point Doug freaking Martin.

Week 1 - 113.39 vs. 103.06 (6 point W)
Week 2 - 128.85 vs. 123.60 (4 point L)
Week 3 - 136.23 vs. 91.12 (13 point W)
Week 4 - 123.53 vs. 147.48 (19 point W)
Week 5 - 111.67 vs. 127.04 (20 point W)
Week 6 - 129.48 vs. 107.00 (5 point L)
Week 7 - 119.11 vs. 117.56 (6 point L)
Week 8 - 136.30 vs. 121.96 (56 point W)
Week 9 - 130.73 vs. 112.84 (11 point W)

How does Projected Points influence how you decide your starters? Do you go with the hot hand approach?

I'm thinking of starting Martin (hot hand) and Ridley (NE destroys BUF) over my better two RBs (Lynch vs. NYJ and McCoy vs. DAL) this week. Good idea? Bad idea?

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