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11-09-2012, 11:34 PM
  #17
TMLOBI
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I'm against tanking so I'm obviously against this. If there were an NHL season and the Leafs tanked they would have a much higher chance at getting Mckinnon.

If the the 2012 draft lottery is the same as the 2005 draft lottery the Leafs would have a 1 in 16 shot at drafting first overall. That is a 6.25% chance. Those odds are awful. The math after that gets a little complex and I am lazy.. but if someone is bored (or smart enough) figure out the most likely draft spot for the Leafs with those odds. It is definitely out of the top 5. Probably closer to 11 or 12.

4 teams 3 balls

10 teams 2 balls

16 teams 1 ball

That tells me there is a 1 in 3 chance a playoff team (from last season) gets to draft first. That is a 33.3% chance. Those are pretty good odds for playoff teams.


So after reading my post does anyone who voted yes want to change their vote?

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