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11-15-2012, 02:11 PM
Czech Your Math
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Originally Posted by seventieslord View Post
In principle, you're right, but why should we believe that in a league where there are 18 forwards, the Sedins would not be 1st liners? That's where this breaks down.
It seems very possible that there would be 18 forwards who had proven more and wouldn't be demoted to the second line. If they were on a real powerhouse, then there wouldn't even have to be 18 better than them. The advantage they would have over someone like St. Louis is they were high draft picks, so their team would be looking for a spot for them. The disadvantage would be that they're a tandem which would require two open spots. It's also a question of just how efficient and "elastic" teams would be at putting players in proper roles for their skills and/or development, and how quickly they would change those roles. It might seem obvious that if the Sedins were at an 80 point level and a couple other players are only at a 60 point level, that the Sedins should get more time than those other players. However, if the Sedins are stuck on the third line, maybe they only jump to 60 points instead of 80. Their team may keep them on the third line, because they think other players just had an off year... or they don't want to cause unnecessary friction. It's difficult to say, esp with players like St. Louis and the Sedins that were not excelling until their mid-20s, even in a 30 team league.

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