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11-16-2012, 02:24 PM
Burke the Legend
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Originally Posted by billybudd View Post
The two outliers (Pitt and LAK) both had coach/system changes late-ish in the year (the one guy does note this about Pitt). I would think it best to throw them both out if looking for trends, reasoning that the hockey they played in the playoffs wasn't necessarily the same hockey that generated the sub-par numbers.
Dismal underperforming first half offence was reformed with player acquisitions and style changes.

That said I believe it's almost impossible to consistently predict playoff performance based on regular season stats because the two biggest playoff variables IMO are 1) goaltending and 2) health.

Did any kind of statistical model predict J. Quick would deliver a .946 save % in the 2012 playoffs?

Health is fairly self exaplanatory. When key regulars start dropping like flies down the stretch and in the playoffs, any team stats acquired during the regular season become fuzzier and fuzzier as the team that actually created them begins to decompile.

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