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11-21-2012, 01:32 PM
  #55
Mystlyfe
We're Touched
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Philadelphia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Braden Carlzner View Post
Because all prospects are the same.
Of course not. But those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it. I'm not suggesting that you should base all your actions around those players' outcomes, but rather that it's an important and interesting trend that you should factor into your decision.

Go look at the scouting reports for Seth Jones and Erik Johnson, and see how eerily similar they are. Both are called smooth skating, phsyically gifted, big-minute defensemen with great awareness who think the game well and can contribute in any zone. Both are billed as future powerplay QBs. Both are compared to Chris Pronger. Hell, both even played for the USNTDP for two years.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zoidberg Jesus View Post
The point is that defensemen, even that high in the draft, are still somewhat hit or miss. Forwards at that echelon have a far more consistent track record of becoming elite NHLers.
Not so much "hit or miss" as mild success all around. None of those really "busted," but none ever became a franchise player. Berard is the closest to busting (thanks in part to an eye injury), and even he won a Calder trophy. But when the best of the bunch are Ed Jovanovski and Roman Hamrlik, you see that they're not meeting the hype expected of the #1 selection.

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