Edmonton Montreal (Huge deal)
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11-21-2012, 02:05 PM
Join Date: Jun 2008
Originally Posted by
You gave no context.
you need to give the Comp and Zone start situation for the player. there is a clear average for points and +/- for each situation.
Gomez in 3rd comp 64% zone a 3.15EVP should have 24PTs and +17GD
was 8 points and -9.
Pacorietty who was 3rd comp and 50% should have been 45PT and even
he was 52PT and +2. so we can say he handles 3rd comp.
Horcoff who was 1st comp and 44% should have been 1.15EVP 24PT and -18 for situation was
24PT -23 -5 from average.
He can no longer handle 1st comp tough zone unlike when he was three of the best in NHL
07-08 53 GM +1 in -10; A full season +2 in a -15 situation +17 to average.
08-09 80GM +7 in a -23 situation; +30 to average.
But put him back in a 50% zone start against the other teams best
Horc and hall played in together in that over two years.
They get a goal every 22 min and were +8 in 31 games of minutes. which makes them 55G and +21 as an Even pair. 21 above average.
Hall's value clearly covers this. A guy who destroys the other teams best in even situation.
Eberle faced 2nd comp in a 60% zone start 3.08evPP/60 (2nd best in league) in a 2.55 situation. showed he could face uppwe 1st and lower 2nd with Smyth
where do you think Yakupov slots.
in starter qualified seasons a .916 Sv%
Sv% last 4 starter years .906, 912: .923, .916
in starter qualified seasons a .915 Sv%
Sv % in his starter years .916; .914
So price is likely to be worse Save% 50% of the time or better 25% of the time.
Is that worth 3M/season more?
Plus last half of this season
Dubnyk played with
he was .750 win% 2.11GA .930SV%
So 4 of our 6 forwards who can destroy tough comp in a 50-55% situation.
Our goalie who, in full seaon 2, showed .930Sv % potential in a 25 game stretch.
PLEASE! PLEASE! LOOK AT SITUATIONAL RESULTS VERSUS THE AVERAGE BEFORE POSTING!
PS: There is no one uneducated enough to think that:
1. the chance to score when starting in the offensive zone is equal to the chance to score when starting in your d zone. getting procession, moving the puck into the offesive zone in a 40-45 second shift.
2. Facing the first line goal producers is the same as 4th line goal producers.
Last edited by oilerbear: 11-21-2012 at
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