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11-22-2012, 06:11 PM
Deus Ex Machina
Join Date: Feb 2012
Originally Posted by
Then he will start taking more shots...
Why is that so hard for people to believe?
It's not like he took 600 shots last year.
He can still maintain a 30+ goal season.
Because Marek Svatos? Lol. I don't think "take more shots" is quite as easy as it sounds. If his SH% regressed a measly 3%, he'd have to take 35 more shots
to hold 34 goals. Now, I think Jordan Eberle is just a naturally good shooter, so I'd expect him to shoot anywhere from around 12% to 15%, using TCAB's data. Which is pretty good. He just didn't take a whole lot of shots last year, which is more problematic when you're not shooting a 19%. So while I think Eberle is a great player, I'm not trading John Carlson for him after one season.
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