Do the Leafs draft better/worse if there is a half season
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11-29-2012, 12:05 PM
Join Date: Feb 2002
The shorter the season the less games played the closer all teams remain bunched together as it takes time for the cream to rise to the top.
A shortened season results therefore would be more dynamic where our Leafs could even steal a playoff spot and thus earn a bottom 15 pick in the first round of the draft.
In the analogy that a shortened season being like a sprint and in a marathon full season the Leafs settle at the bottom and draft high accordingly. So in terms of the merits of an entry draft perspective alone, a shortened season makes Leafs odds worse than without one or with a full season.
Best Draft odds rankings
1) Full NHL Season -(Bottom 5 finish = +8% odds of drafting #1 overall)
2) Weighted lottery draft - No Season = +6% odds of drafting #1 overall)
3) Shortened Season - Result odds unpredictable.
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