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12-02-2012, 03:22 PM
dun worry he's cool
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: South of the Border
Country: United States
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Originally Posted by Averman View Post
You need two scores. You're in position to get one of them and still have a half decent amount of time left. There's nothing wrong with going for the field goal there, it's probably the correct decision. There is something wrong with having someone who seems like he's actively trying to submarine the team's chances touch the ball on every offensive snap besides punts and field goals.
No, that's the common idiocy, not a valid claim. It has been shown statistically time and time again that kicking that field goal is a mistake. The team has been completely unable to move the ball down the field the entire game. You've already done most of the work getting down there now. Getting a quick TD and getting the ball back only requires you to make it a short distance down the field to try kick a field goal with one of the longest legs in the league.

There was 2:01 left. After a made field goal and kickoff, if it's not a successful onside kick (and expected onside kicks rarely are) the Packers have the ball back with around 1:50 left. The Vikings had 2 timeouts which means the Packers can run the ball 3 times which will burn at least 50 seconds. Add in a decent punt and the Vikings get the ball back deep in their own zone with about 50 seconds remaining, needing to go the entire length of the field with the third worst passing offense in the game. There's almost zero chance of winning there.

Swap that around with the scenario of trying for the TD. Assume a first down is successful and two more plays are required to score, so it takes things down to around 1:50 left. Kick deep instead of onside and hold them to a three and out. Again you have 50 seconds + punt come off the clock, but now you have the ball with 40 seconds at about midfield needing to gain just 10-20 yards to kick a field goal. Essentially what needs to be weighed is whether or not your team can gain 3 yards. If they can't gain 3 yards, how do you expect them to go 80 yards down the field in 50 seconds with no timeouts?

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