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12-04-2012, 03:56 AM
Holden Caulfield
The Eternal Skeptic
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Winnipeg
Country: Canada
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Originally Posted by wpgsilver View Post
I don't get all the pessimism around Pavs all of a sudden. It seems like at the end of last year every acknowledged that he's a young developing goalie. He has sky high potential, but has yet to put it all together. I'm fine with that, once he suits up for the Jets next I expect to see improvement. Till then, I'm not going to change my opinion I formed last year.

The DUI though concerning is a non-factor to me. As is the play in Europe. I didn't see the games, I don't know the circumstances.

I'll roll the dice with Pavs for the time being. I believe he's got number 1 potential, I'm willing to give him the opportunity to reach that in Winnipeg.
Meh, not for me. The DUI issue is a complete non-issue for me. I don't see how it in any way shape or form effects him at this point, nor do I believe that the well "carefully planned coverup" reflects poorly on his character as some have suggested.

But my concerns with him have dated back to last year. Although he had some moments of dominance, with some spectacular saves, he was not nearly consistant enough. Early on in the year I defended him alot. As the year wore on, not so much. He has been fine overall not spectacular. Hard to say, but one might say you can almost see shades of Mathieu Garon. Absolutely spectacular in stretches, but overall unable to put it together over long stretches, particularly when used as a true #1 guy, and results in very pedestrian stats. That being said you could also point to a guy like Luongo, who was back and forth his first few years in NYI with a bad team, broke out with FLA in 00-01 with a .920 in 48gp, before regressing somewhat as the full-time starter in 02-04 (.915, .918), before finally coming into his own in 03-04 (.931 in 73gp), again always with poor teams, ala Pavelec.

Maybe we see that type of progression in Pavelec (although Luongo was better then, even in off-years suggesting a lower ceiling for Pavelec), it is not unheard of for a goalie to take him time adjusting to a starter's role in the NHL. So that's why I say roll the dice with Pav...for now.

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