Philadelphia Phillies (MLB): The "Ruf"fled Offseason Thread
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12-04-2012, 03:01 PM
Join Date: Oct 2012
Originally Posted by
His numbers on the road are below average in almost every category. His walk rate at Coors is 14% and 10% on the road. That's a huge difference, not to mention a crazy change in approach. Even for his career he has a 13% walk rate at Coors and 10% everywhere else. 10% is good don't get me wrong, but you'd be paying for the 13%, when in reality he's not really delivering on that away from Coors.
I'm sorry, but how does the stadium affect walk rate? Do the Rockies employ people to shine spotlights in opposing pitcher's eyes? Or do they pay off the umps every game? Or are you suggesting they steal signs? (Oh, the irony!)
I'll concede that his 2Bs and 3Bs are bloated due to Coors (though I'll still argue that CBP upping his HR output likely would offset much of this in terms of SLG), but I just can't get behind any other conjecture. Btw, some players just play better at home than the road - and, like I said, he just had a career year at 26 (which would have been our 2nd highest OPS on the team behind Ruiz last season) and is turning 27 this upcoming year - he is just now entering his prime, while guys like Bourn and Pagan will shortly be leaving theirs.
As far as position, if he comes in and hits .800 OPS then he does offer value in RF (Werth had a 4.2 WAR in '09 with a .879 OPS - which is only slightly higher than Fowler's OPS last season).
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