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12-07-2012, 05:29 PM
Corsi != Possession
4evaBlue's Avatar
Join Date: Jan 2011
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Originally Posted by ULF_55 View Post
Isn't going from 15 year Kovalchuk to an 8 year limit a huge improvement for the owners?

That's almost half of what has happened.

If the longest contracts are 8 years, that drives the length of lessor players even shorter than they are today.
Using 5 year contract lengths, we can see that it divides up the player's career into pretty well classifiable segments, where the average $ amount very closely reflects the players' contributions for the duration of the contract.
  • Ages 26-31: player's prime years, fairly steady production can be expected.
  • Ages 32-37: steadily declining performance, much lower $ figure than prime years.
  • Ages 38-40+: twilight years.

The 7 year option to re-sign your own players can be used as a hook to help teams keep their own players by offering more term at similar average $$.

Using an 8 year contract length:
  • Ages 26-34: large amount of variance in player's performance during that stretch.
  • Ages 35-40+: once again, large amount of variance in player's contributions during that stretch.

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